Tagged: padres

This week in squeeze: July 5 – July 11

Date (box) Batter Team Vs. Squeeze Result Video
7/8/2013 Jonathan Herrera COL @SDP Safety Run Link
7/9/2013 Eric Stults SDP COL Safety Fail Link
7/10/2013 Jordan Lyles HOU @STL Safety Fail Link

Updated season leaders (full list)

Team Attempts Runs Scored Fails
MLB TOTAL 58 30 21
Astros 8 4 4
Brewers 7 5 1
Braves 6 4 2
Padres 6 2 3
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This week in squeeze: June 14 – June 20

It was an eventful week for San Diego with two squeeze attempts. Against the Giants in extra innings, they called on starting pitcher Andrew Cashner to pinch hit, and he dropped down a beauty to take the lead. A couple days later against the Giants, they tried to tack on run late but instead got some first hand evidence that Adrian Gonzalez is awesome defensively.

Date (box) Batter Team Vs. Squeeze Result Video
6/16/2013 Jordan Schafer ATL SFG Suicide Run Link
6/16/2013 Johnny Cueto CIN MIL Suicide Run Link
6/17/2013 Alcides Escobar KCR @CLE Safety Fail Link
6/17/2013 Andrew Cashner SDP @SFG Safety Run Link
6/18/2013 Marwin Gonzalez HOU MIL Safety Run Link
6/20/2013 Will Venable SDP LAD Safety Fail Link

Updated season leaders (full list)

Team Attempts Runs Scored Fails
MLB TOTAL 47 24 16
Brewers 6 4 1
Astros 6 3 3
Padres 5 2 2
Braves 4 3 1

Jason Marquis Safety Squeeze Fail

Game: New York Mets at San Diego, August 5 (box, 7-3 Padres win)
Situation: Bottom 4, one out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, San Diego up 5-0
Pitcher: Matt Harvey
Batter: Jason Marquis
Runner on 3rd: Cameron Maybin

Leverage index: 0.2
Win probability added: -1.1%

On the safety squeeze, it’s up to the runner on third to assess the risk of the dash for the plate. Normally a bunt straight back to the pitcher is not a good one to attempt. In this case though, Maybin is a fast guy and Harvey is a rookie pitcher making his third major league start. Harvey makes a great play, and Maybin is cut down.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): -1 (-1, fail)

Ross Ohlendorf Safety Squeeze

Game: San Diego at Arizona (box, 9-5 Padres win)
Situation: Top 4, one out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, San Diego up 2-0
Pitcher: Trevor Bauer
Batter: Ross Ohlendorf
Runner on 3rd: Cameron Maybin

Leverage index: 1.5
Win probability added: +5.2%

MLB.com video

Credit Maybin on the play for a decisive break to the plate and for being a fast guy. The Padres color guy describes this as a “perfect” bunt, but it looks pretty straight to me. I don’t think a slower runner scores on this bunt. I bet Bauer agrees, because he thought there might be a play at home. His peek toward the plate caused the error.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, batter reaches base)

Everth Cabrera Safety Squeeze

Game: San Diego at Houston, June 25 (box, 8-7 Padres win)
Situation: Top 2, one out, 1-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, San Diego down 2-0
Pitcher: Wandy Rodriguez
Batter: Everth Cabrera
Runner on 3rd: Jesus Guzman

Leverage index: 1.9
Win probability added: +7.0

It can’t be done any better than this.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, batter reaches base)

Carlos Gomez and Rickie Weeks Fail

Game: San Diego at Milwaukee June 8 (box, 9-5 Brewers win)
Situation: Bottom 4, one out, 0-1 count, runners at 1st/3rd, Milwaukee down 2-1
Pitcher: Edinson Volquez
Batter: Carlos Gomez
Runner on 3rd: Rickie Weeks

Leverage index: 2.5
Win probability added: -9.9%

[No video available]

The situation was too perfect for a squeeze. The Brewers are on top of the Suicidal Tendencies board. According to the Milwaukee broadcast crew, manager Ron Roenicke and the coaching staff talk about the squeeze play at length. Gomez is a prime bunt candidate at any time given his great speed and high strikeout rate (22%), and Weeks has good speed from third.

Gomez squares on the first pitch, but doesn’t offer at it. He does bunt the second pitch, but it’s a terrible bunt, lined hard straight at the charging first baseman Yonder Alonso. Weeks initially started toward the plate, but then was forced to stop seeing the ball in the air. He probably shouldn’t have broken at all or at least retreated immediately. Instead, he hesitates part way down the line and then tries to dash back to third. Alonso plays the ball on a hop, and makes a great off-balance throw to nail Weeks. Weeks looks bad on the play, but it’s the poor bunt by Gomez that sets the whole thing in motion.

Martin Maldonado, a successful squeeze bunter himself, cleans up the mess with a three-run homer.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): -1 (-1, fail)

Tim Stauffer Safety Squeeze

Game: San Diego at Washington, May 14 (box, 8-5 Nationals win)
Situation: Top 4, one out, count 0-1, runners at 1st/3rd, San Diego down 4-3
Pitcher: Ross Detwiler
Batter: Tim Stauffer
Runner on 3rd: Orlando Hudson

Leverage index: 2.6
Win probability added: +3.0%

I wonder if this situation should be considered a squeeze: pitcher at the plate, runners at the corners, runner on 3rd doesn’t run with the pitch. The runner on 3rd is treating the play as a safety squeeze. However, even if he doesn’t run, the runner on 1st can advance to 2nd, an acceptable result for the offense with the pitcher at the plate. There’s no risk to the play. It’s good baserunning to recognize the ability to score on the bunt, but is it a true squeeze without the risk?

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +3 (+1, success; +1, down one run; +1, pitcher batting)