Tagged: orioles

Adeiny Hechavarria Safety Squeeze

Game: Baltimore at Toronto (box, 6-4 Blue Jays win)
Situation: Bottom 7, one out, 1-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, game tied 2-2
Pitcher: Miguel Gonzalez
Batter: Adeiny Hechavarria
Runner on 3rd: Yunel Escobar

Leverage index: 3.1
Win probability added: +10.9%

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +4 (+1, success; +1, batter reaches safely; +1, tie game; +1, seventh inning or later)

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Nate McLouth Safety Squeeze

Game: Baltimore at Toronto, September 3 (box, 4-0 Orioles win)
Situation: Top 2, zero out, 0-0 count, runner at 3rd, game tied 0-0
Pitcher: J.A. Happ
Batter: Nate McLouth
Runner on 3rd: Manny Machado

Leverage index: 1.1
Win probability added: -1.3%

Well Gary, by my count that is the first run the Orioles have scored on a squeeze this year, but they did have a no-go in a safety squeeze situation earlier.

This one looks like McLouth is primarily bunting for a hit, and it just works out that Machado can score on the play. The timing isn’t right for a straight safety squeeze play (note the negative win probability even though successful). With no outs and a runner on third, that run will score accidentally either on a fly or ground out (infield was playing back). Of course, 22% of McLouth’s plate appearances have ended in a strikeout this year, so maybe he should be praised for taking the safe route and putting the ball in play via the bunt.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, tie game)

Munenori Kawasaki Safety Squeeze Fail

Game: Seattle at Baltimore, August 8 (box, 9-2 Orioles win)
Situation: Top 2, one out, 0-1 count, runners at 1st/2nd/3rd, Seattle down 2-0
Pitcher: Steve Johnson
Batter: Munenori Kawasaki
Runner on 3rd: Kyle Seager

Leverage index: 2.8
Win probability added: -7.8%

[No MLB.com video]

This couldn’t have been a called play. Kawasaki has four bunt hits on the season, which actually represents a statistically significant portion of his offense. Here the play doesn’t work, and it turned out to be the Mariners’ best scoring opportunity of the day.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): -2 (-1, fail; -1, bases loaded)

Sean Rodriguez Safety Squeeze

Game: Baltimore at Tampa Bay, June 1 (box, 5-0 Rays win)
Situation: Bottom 1, one out, 0-1 count, runners at 1st/3rd, Tampa Bay up 2-0
Pitcher: Wei-Yin Chen
Batter: Sean Rodriguez
Runner on 3rd: Ben Zobrist

Leverage index: 1.4
Win probability added: +2.3%


(second highlight in package)

This is the third time this season that Tampa has called for Sean Rodriguez to bunt with runners at the corners and one out:

  • April 6 vs. New York: The bunt goes straight into the dirt, and the runner at third wisely holds.
  • May 2 vs. Seattle: The bunt gets off the dirt, but the pitcher is on top of it, and the runner is thrown out at the plate.
  • June 1 vs. Baltimore: Success! The bunt is down the line, and the pitcher only has the play at first.

All three bunts were on the second pitch of the plate appearance.

It’s unusual to play for one run in the first inning, so not surprisingly this was the first squeeze of the season called in the first inning. It was only the second time Tampa has called for any sac bunt in the first inning, both by Rodriguez.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +1 (+1, success)

Mitch Maier Safety Squeeze

Game: Kansas City at Baltimore, May 27 (box, 4-2 Royals win)
Situation: Top 2, one out, 1-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, 1-1 tie
Pitcher: Brian Matusz
Batter: Mitch Maier
Runner on 3rd: Jeff Francoeur

Leverage index: 1.8
Win probability added: +1.9%

You have to feel for KC Royals fans. Their team was a trendy pick to contend in the AL Central but currently sits in fourth place. Their wunderkind first baseman Eric Hosmer is hitting .201/.265/.339. And to top it off they have to listen to Rex Hudler call the games.

At least they can enjoy a pretty safety squeeze once in a while.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, tie game)