Tagged: diamondbacks

This week in squeeze: June 21 – June 27

The squeeze of the week has to be Thursday’s safety by the Diamondbacks in extra innings at Washington. With runners at the corners and one out, Didi Gregorius dragged a pitch on the outside corner with him up the first base line. The bunt was perfectly placed, giving the Nationals no chance to catch A.J. Pollock racing home from third, and Gregorius beat the play at first. At a leverage index of 5.4, this was the most critical situation that a squeeze has been run this season. The play increased the D-backs win expectancy by 18%, tying the highest positive WPA in 2013.

Date (box) Batter Team Vs. Squeeze Result Video
6/21/2013 Julio Teheran ATL @MIL Safety Fail Link
6/22/2013 Ronny Cedeno HOU @CHC Safety Run Link
6/22/2013 Barry Zito SFG MIA Safety Fail Link
6/27/2013 Didi Gregorius ARI @WSN Safety Run Link

Updated season leaders (full list)

Team Attempts Runs Scored Fails
MLB TOTAL 51 26 18
Astros 7 4 3
Brewers 6 4 1
Braves 5 3 2
Padres 5 2 2
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Gerardo Parra Safety Squeeze

Game: Arizona vs. Philadelphia, 2013/5/9 (box, 2-1 Diamondbacks win)
Situation: Bottom 6, one out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, Arizona ahead 1-0
Pitcher: Cole Hamels
Batter: Gerardo Parra
Runner on 3rd: Cody Ross

Leverage index: 1.7
Win probability added: +3.2%

MLB.com video

For his career, Ryan Howard has cost his teams about 25 runs in the field over ~1100 games according to Fangraphs (Baseball Reference has him at -40 runs for his career). Defensively, he’s like the negative Doug Mientkiewicz. The amount that people thought that Doug Mientkiewicz was good playing at first base, Ryan Howard is bad at playing first base (Mientkiewicz’s numbers: Fangraphs +28 runs fielding, BR -40 runs fielding). My point, other than ragging on Ryan Howard’s defensive ability, is that Gerardo Parra is pretty smart when it comes to where to bunt on a safety squeeze.

Wade Miley and Miguel Montero Safety Squeeze Fail

Game: Arizona at Los Angeles Dodgers, September 2 (box, 5-4 Dodgers win)
Situation: Top 7, one out, 0-2 count, runners at 1st/3rd, Arizona up 4-2
Pitcher: Shawn Tolleson
Batter: Wade Miley
Runner on 3rd: Miguel Montero

Leverage index: 1.2
Win probability added: -4.6%

A moment hesitation and you’re out…

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): -1 (-1, fail)

Wade Miley Safety Squeeze

Game: Arizona at Houston, August 17 (box, 3-1 Diamondbacks win)
Situation: Top 5, one out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, game tied 0-0
Pitcher: Dallas Keuchel
Batter: Wade Miley
Runner on 3rd: Gerardo Parra

Leverage index: 2.5
Win probability added: +3.4%

Big game for Miley, striking out five over 6 IP and laying down a nice safety squeeze to open the scoring.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, tie game)

Ross Ohlendorf Safety Squeeze

Game: San Diego at Arizona (box, 9-5 Padres win)
Situation: Top 4, one out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, San Diego up 2-0
Pitcher: Trevor Bauer
Batter: Ross Ohlendorf
Runner on 3rd: Cameron Maybin

Leverage index: 1.5
Win probability added: +5.2%

MLB.com video

Credit Maybin on the play for a decisive break to the plate and for being a fast guy. The Padres color guy describes this as a “perfect” bunt, but it looks pretty straight to me. I don’t think a slower runner scores on this bunt. I bet Bauer agrees, because he thought there might be a play at home. His peek toward the plate caused the error.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, batter reaches base)

John McDonald Safety Squeeze

Game: Arizona at Kansas City, May 20 (box)
Situation: Top 5, zero out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, tie game
Pitcher: Nathan Adcock
Batter: John McDonald
Runner on 3rd: Paul Goldschmidt

Leverage index: 1.94
Win probability added: 6.6%

Nicely done all around by the Diamondbacks.

Except for Mark Grace. That guy is a terrible commentator.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +3 (+1, success; +1, batter reaches base; +1, tie game)