Game: Arizona vs. Philadelphia, 2013/5/9 (box, 2-1 Diamondbacks win)
Situation: Bottom 6, one out, 0-0 count, runners at 1st/3rd, Arizona ahead 1-0
Pitcher: Cole Hamels
Batter: Gerardo Parra
Runner on 3rd: Cody Ross
Leverage index: 1.7
Win probability added: +3.2%
For his career, Ryan Howard has cost his teams about 25 runs in the field over ~1100 games according to Fangraphs (Baseball Reference has him at -40 runs for his career). Defensively, he’s like the negative Doug Mientkiewicz. The amount that people thought that Doug Mientkiewicz was good playing at first base, Ryan Howard is bad at playing first base (Mientkiewicz’s numbers: Fangraphs +28 runs fielding, BR -40 runs fielding). My point, other than ragging on Ryan Howard’s defensive ability, is that Gerardo Parra is pretty smart when it comes to where to bunt on a safety squeeze.