Leverage index: 1.1
Win probability added: -1.3%
Well Gary, by my count that is the first run the Orioles have scored on a squeeze this year, but they did have a no-go in a safety squeeze situation earlier.
This one looks like McLouth is primarily bunting for a hit, and it just works out that Machado can score on the play. The timing isn’t right for a straight safety squeeze play (note the negative win probability even though successful). With no outs and a runner on third, that run will score accidentally either on a fly or ground out (infield was playing back). Of course, 22% of McLouth’s plate appearances have ended in a strikeout this year, so maybe he should be praised for taking the safe route and putting the ball in play via the bunt.
Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, tie game)