Juan Pierre and Ty Wigginton Safety Squeeze Fail

Game: Cincinnati at Philadelphia, August 21 (box, 5-4 Reds win)
Situation: Bottom 7, one out, 0-1 count, runners at 2nd/3rd, game tied 3-3
Pitcher: Sean Marshall
Batter: Juan Pierre
Runner on 3rd: Ty Wigginton

Leverage index: 2.85
Win probability added: -15.0%

The way this play unfolds, it looks like Wigginton is surprised that the squeeze is on. He has no lead off third, and then gets no secondary lead on the pitch. Pierre puts down a pretty good bunt, but by the time Marshall fields the ball, Wigginton is still 50 feet from the plate.

I don’t really understand this play call. Pierre’s main skill, along with bunting,  is slapping singles around. With runners on 2nd/3rd, (and faster runner Jimmy Rollins on 2nd) a single scores two runs. Pierre is not much of a threat to drive in a run with a sacrifice fly (low fly ball rate, low power). With a slow runner like Wigginton on 3rd, a ground ball is unlikely to score a run, but that’s essentially what a safety squeeze is. With Pierre at the plate in this situation, take advantage of his bunting skill with the suicide squeeze or play it straight up.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): -1 (-1, fail)


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