Game: Miami at Washington, August 4 (box, 10-7 Nationals win)
Situation:Top 7, one out, 1-1 count, runners at 1st/3rd, Miami up 5-4
Pitcher: Ryan Mattheus
Batter: Donovan Solano
Runner on 3rd: Jose Reyes
Leverage index: 2.1
Win probability added: +4.4%
Solano is the Marlins utility guy. When you’re a 24 year old and already marked as a utility guy, you better bring something else to the table. Like executing awesome safety squeeze plays late in one-run ballgames.
Marlins manager Ozzie Guillen calls for some unusual baserunning, sending the runner on first, Greg Dobbs, with the pitch. There’s little upside to the bunt-and-run. If the bunt is on the ground, Dobbs will make it to second whether he’s running with the pitch or not. If it’s bunted in the air, the Nationals will probably turn a double play. The one advantage would be if the second baseman goes to cover second base on the apparent attempted steal and the first baseman charges the bunt, nobody will be covering first base and the batter will reach safely. Here, the Nats read it all the way: SS covers second, the second baseman is moving toward first, and the first baseman covers his bag as the picher makes the play on the bunt.
Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +2 (+1, success; +1, seventh inning or later)