Denard Span Safety Squeeze

Game: Kansas City at Minnesota, July 1, (box, 10-8 Twins win)
Situation: Bottom 6, zero out, 1-0 count, runner at 3rd, Minnesota down 5-1
Pitcher: Bruce Chen
Batter: Denard Span
Runner on 3rd: Brian Dozier

Leverage index: 1.2
Win probability added: -2.5%

Here’s a lesson in win probability added for you: when you’re down by four runs in the 6th inning, you shouldn’t trade outs for runs as a rule. The Twins actually lost 2.5 points of win probability on this squeeze. As a straight squeeze play, then it’s a terrible call. Span was definitely bunting for a hit here though, and he lays down a good one, just not good enough.

Dandy Squeeze Score (what’s this?): +1 (+1, success)


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